Your Questions About Poker Odds Outs

Chris asks…

poker math, easy way to calculate?

hand strength difference between 4-6-9 players.
pot odds
hand outs
how to calculate percentage into odds

admin answers:

The poker calculator from Card Player allows you to figure from 2 to 10 players. I like it because it’s very simple to use.

(I have nothing to do with Card Player, by the way.)

Maria asks…

Odds and Percentages, need help!?

Hello, I was playing poker and I was 31% to win the game when we were all-in but I lost. However, this loss was insignificant for I had 3x as many chips than him therefore we became even in chips. Later, when the chips were even, I was 42% to win the game and I won therefore winning me the game. My question is … what were my total odds of winning this game? Ultimately, my odds of winning this game has to be higher than 42% because I was 42% at one point for the win. However, I did have an additional chance of winning at 31%. What is the formula to figure this out? I would think my odds of winning would be something like 42% + ?%. Let me know please, thanks! Also, let me know what the odds would be if it was 80% and 50% =)

admin answers:

What you do for unconditional probability like this is start subtracting one chance from 1, then the next one OF the remainder FROM the remainder, and so on. So 1-0.42=0.56, 0.56*(1-0.31)=0.56*0.69=0.3864, 1-0.3864=0.6136. Your chances of winning, at the beginning, were 61.36%. In your second scenario, they would of course be 90%.

Lizzie asks…

POKER: Where Do I Learn……….?

how to do percentages and find out what the „odds“ are, and what the „outs“ are, if anyone can explain to me how to find those terms, including the percentages, id be greatly thankful.

admin answers:

That’s a lot of stuff to answer. I’ve included an article in the link, but really to learn all that stuff, you’re going to need to read a book.

But basically, an ‚out‘ is a card that you could get that would improve your hand.

Let me give you an example.

Let’s say you have AK of diamonds. The flop comes out and there are two diamonds. So you are drawing to the best possible flush.

So the deck contains 52 cards. You have two in your hand, and there are three on the board. So you have seen five of the 52 cards, which leaves 47 unseen cards. There are 13 diamonds in the deck, and you have seen four of them. This means that there are nine diamonds of the remaining 47 unseen cards that would give you your flush.

So you would say that you have nine outs, assuming that making an ace high flush would be the best hand, and ignoring the possibility for a moment that maybe pairing your ace or king would also give you the winning hand.

So the odds of making your hand by the river would be 9/47 = 19%. But there are two cards to come, so it would be 9/47 + 9/46 = 38% (approx).

The link article has more detail and a shortcut method of calculating your percentages at the table, since most people can’t divide numbers into 47 in their heads.

In another example if you have Jack Ten, and the flop is 892, you have an open ended straight draw. You need a seven or a queen to make your straight. So since there are four sevens and four queens unseen, it would be said that you had eight outs.

However if you had Jack Ten and the flop came 782, you need a nine to make your straight, so given that there are only four nines in the deck, you have half as many outs.

Those are the basics of outs and percentages. Once you have figured out that, the next step is to apply this information to your pot odds. For example if you are getting even money to call, but you know you are only likely to hit your hand one in three times, you may not be right to make a call.

Of course then you start to consider implied odds, which is another level again.

Poker is like an onion. Every time you think you have it figured out, there is another layer you were previously unaware of. It’s a highly complex game, that you never stop learning, no matter how long you play.

Daniel asks…

Texas Holdem‘ draw odds?

I’m learning to play poker. I’ve frequently come across two different evaluations of the probability of catching an out on a flush draw on the internet, one of which states that the odds are about 4:1, and the other of which puts them at about 5:1. Which is correct?

admin answers:

If you have a flush draw on the flop, you have 9 outs (13 total cards minus 2 that you have – 2 that are on the board)

hitting the flush on the turn is 9 / 47 (9 outs / 52 – 3 (on the board) – 2 (cards you have) total cards). 9 / 47 = 14 % or 4.1 to 1

hitting the flush on the turn or river is 35% or 1.9 to 1 (the math is a bit more complicated)

Mark asks…

Drunk poker?

A man walked into a bar room one day. He walked up to the bartender and said, “Bartender, I’d like to buy the house a round of drinks”. The bartender said, “No problem sir, but I’ll need to see some money first”. The guy pulls out a huge wad of bills and sets them on the bar. Well, the bartender can’t believe what he’s seeing. “Where did you get all that money?”, asked the bartender. “I’m a professional gambler”, replied the man. The bartender said, “There’s no such thing! I mean, your odds are 50-50 at best, right?”. “Well, I only bet on sure things” said the guy.

“Like what?” asked the bartender. “Well, for example, I’ll bet you $50 that I can bite my right eye.” The bartender thought about it. “OK”. So, the guy pulls out his false right eye and bites it. “Aw, you screwed me”, said the bartender, and paid the guy his $50. “I’ll give you another chance. I’ll bet you another $50 that I can bite my LEFT eye” said the stranger. The bartender thought again and said, “Well, I know you’re not blind, I mean I watched you walk in here. I’ll take that bet”. So, the guy pulls out his false teeth and bites his left eye. “Aw, you screwed me again”. “That’s how I win so much money, bartender. I’ll just take a bottle of your best scotch in leiu of the $100″, said the man.

With that, the guy went to the back room and spent the better part of the night playing cards with some of the locals. After many hours of drinking and card playing, he stumbled up to the bar. The guy, drunk as a skunk, said, “Bartender, I’ll give you one last chance. I’ll bet you $500 that I can stand on this bar here on one foot and piss into that whiskey bottle on that shelf behind you without spilling a drop”.

The bartender once again pondered the bet. The guy couldn’t even stand up straight on two feet, much less one. “OK, you’re on”. The guy climbed up on the bar, stood on one leg, and began pissing all over the place. He hit the bar, the bartender, himself, but not a drop made it into the whiskey bottle.

The bartender was ecstatic. Laughing, the bartender said, “Hey pal, you owe me $500!”. The guy climbed down off the bar and said, “That’s OK. I just bet each of the guys in the poker room $1000 that I could piss all over you AND the bar AND still make you laugh!”.
It is a bit long, isn’t it? Sorry about that, but I thought it was funny so couldn’t resist posting it!
Super wisdom: Actually no, I’ve never seen that film. I copied and pasted it from a jokes site. But nice try, detective! Lol!

admin answers:

Very very good

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